---
{
  "id": "ASD-EXP-TESTS-PREDICTIONS",
  "path": "/tests/predictions",
  "title": "全站预测与主张登记",
  "title_en": "Global Prediction Registry",
  "category": "实验研究计划",
  "summary": "稳定 Prediction ID，将共同结果、候选差值和闭合预测分别登记；所有装置与数据缺口显式保留。",
  "template": "test",
  "version": "1.0.0",
  "updated": "2026-09-22",
  "date_published": "2026-09-22",
  "canonical": false,
  "source_tier": "published",
  "theory_status": "OPEN",
  "evidence_status": "UNTESTED",
  "locale": "zh",
  "module_key": "experimental-program",
  "module_navigation": [
    {
      "path": "/tests",
      "label": "实验计划",
      "en": "Program"
    },
    {
      "path": "/tests/predictions",
      "label": "预测登记",
      "en": "Registry"
    },
    {
      "path": "/tests/falsification",
      "label": "证伪范围",
      "en": "Falsification"
    },
    {
      "path": "/tests/priority-experiments",
      "label": "优先实验",
      "en": "Priorities"
    },
    {
      "path": "/tests/reproducibility",
      "label": "复现标准",
      "en": "Reproducibility"
    }
  ],
  "canonical_scope": "实验研究计划；不新增正式物理结论",
  "source_chapter": "Existing canonical module snapshots / 现有正式模块快照",
  "source_reference": "Predictions & Falsification v1.0 · review 2026-09-22",
  "source_version": "EXP-7ca61744dcd2",
  "source_sha256": "7ca61744dcd2129e7fcd6902223c71166f3ededeb84b599d544cb20dba88130a",
  "source_kind": "manifest",
  "source_manifest": "predictions-source-manifest.json",
  "source_manifest_url": "/downloads/ASD_Predictions_Source_Manifest.json",
  "last_reviewed": "2026-09-22",
  "depends_on": [],
  "related": [
    "/tests",
    "/tests/falsification",
    "/tests/priority-experiments",
    "/tests/reproducibility"
  ],
  "open_problems": [],
  "equations": [],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "Predictions source and scope manifest",
      "kind": "research-program",
      "url": "/downloads/ASD_Predictions_Source_Manifest.json"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ota et al. (2022), Nature Physics 18, 1436–1440",
      "url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-022-01767-w",
      "kind": "external-reference"
    },
    {
      "label": "PDG (2024), Cosmic Rays review",
      "url": "https://pdg.lbl.gov/2024/reviews/rpp2024-rev-cosmic-rays.pdf",
      "kind": "external-reference"
    },
    {
      "label": "Wolf et al. (2006), Cold Atom Clock Test of Lorentz Invariance in the Matter Sector",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/hep-ph/0601024",
      "kind": "external-reference"
    },
    {
      "label": "BACON Collaboration (2021), optical frequency ratio network",
      "url": "https://www.nist.gov/publications/frequency-ratio-measurements-18-digit-accuracy-using-network-optical-clocks",
      "kind": "external-reference"
    }
  ],
  "outline": [
    "四级登记与晋级条件",
    "编号、版本与审查"
  ],
  "seo_title": "全站预测与主张登记 | ASD Predictions & Falsification v1.0",
  "canonical_url": "https://asd-physics.org/tests/predictions",
  "translation_path": "/en/tests/predictions",
  "mathematical_review": "INCOMPLETE",
  "evidence_note": "尚无闭合定量判别预测；工作台为规划或比较模型。"
}
---
## 主张登记

<PredictionRegistry />

## 四级登记与晋级条件

| 等级 | 最小含义 | 是否能区分 |
| --- | --- | --- |
| REPRODUCED | 在声明条件下恢复已知结果 | 否 |
| REINTERPRETED | 同一可观测量相同，物理解释不同 | 否 |
| CANDIDATE DISCRIMINATOR | 有值得研究的差异路径，装置闭合未完成 | 尚不能 |
| QUANTITATIVE DISCRIMINATOR | 两模型读数、差值、适用域、误差与可识别性均已给出 | 有条件地能 |

晋级要求 $\Delta O=O_{\rm ASD}-O_{\rm comparison}$ 在相同输入与读出定义下可复算。单有不同的内部场表达、可调幅度、论文中的异常或更高仪器精度都不满足条件。现有 Matter / Quantum 现象学要求继续留在原矩阵，不能自动升级为“已重现”。

## 编号、版本与审查

编号永久保留；撤回或合并时记录原因和替代 ID，不回收旧编号。每条记录的来源、公式依赖、完整实验协议和证伪范围可以展开查看。下载的 [JSON 登记表](/downloads/ASD_Prediction_Registry.json) 与页面使用同一数据源，源快照见[来源清单](/downloads/ASD_Predictions_Source_Manifest.json)。